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      <title>How Japan Lost Semiconductor Leadership to Taiwan</title>
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      <pubDate>Mon, 25 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;Japan built the modern semiconductor industry. By the mid-1980s it held more than half of global DRAM market share and was the presumptive long-term dominant force in chip manufacturing. Within two decades that position had been absorbed almost entirely by Taiwan and South Korea. The transfer of leadership was not the result of a single competitive reversal. It was structural, compounding, and in several respects self-inflicted.&lt;/p&gt;&#xA;&lt;h2 id=&#34;the-1986-trade-agreement&#34;&gt;The 1986 Trade Agreement&lt;/h2&gt;&#xA;&lt;p&gt;The proximate wound arrived through policy. The US-Japan Semiconductor Trade Agreement of 1986 set floor prices on Japanese chip exports and required that foreign companies reach a 20% share of the Japanese domestic market. Washington framed it as reciprocity. The practical effect was to hand American and Korean competitors a margin-protected breathing window at exactly the moment when fab investment requirements were beginning to escalate sharply. TSMC was founded the following year. The timing was not a coincidence — the agreement had altered the risk calculus for a pure-play foundry model that Japan had dismissed and the US had reason to encourage.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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